NFL Picks: Trying to make sense of a crazy league

Published 3:50 pm Thursday, October 3, 2013

Is it just me, or is the NFL getting harder to pick than ever. For the second straight week, I was correct on only half of my picks last week and looking back at my choices, I can’t say I had a terrible week of picks.

Who would’ve thought the Browns would win two in a row after trading Trent Richardson and going to their third string quarterback?

Who would’ve expected the defending Super Bowl champs to lose to the Bills?

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Finally, who would’ve expected the Vikings to finally make a defensive stop at the end of a game to beat the Steelers?

These are tough times for picking games folks. I’m just glad I’m not into gambling.

Here are the picks:

Buffalo at Cleveland

Speaking of the Browns and Bills, each teams is 2-2 and Cleveland is actually tied for the lead in the AFC North. This game actually has meaning!

After doubting the Browns for the last two weeks, I’m a believer. Apparently Brian Hoyer learned a thing or two while playing behind Tom Brady in New England and Jordan Cameron has turned into an offensive weapon at tight end.

BROWNS 23, BILLS 17

Detroit at Green Bay

The Packers are at a crossroads and it’s even sneaking into my sleep. I had a dream the other night that my beloved green and gold was being blown out by the Lions and I simply threw my hands up and said the ‘no playoffs this year.’

When I woke up, I realized that dream wasn’t that far off from happening. I thought the Packers two losses were at the hands of tough teams, but the 49ers were humiliated by the Seahawks and Colts and the Bengals scored just six points against the Browns.

I’d like to think the return of safety Morgan Burnett will strengthen up the Packer defense, and I’d like to think Aaron Rodgers will rebound after playing one of his worst games as a pro and having a week to think about it.

The one thing I’m sure of is this year’s Packer team has a running game and that will give them a boost.

I’m riding with the Pack this week, but not with as much confidence as I’d like.

PACKERS 34, LIONS 31

New Orleans at Chicago

The Saints are unstoppable in the dome, but beatable on the road. I still think they’ll be able to spread out the Bears’ defense and do some damage.

SAINTS 27, BEARS 21

New England at Cincinnati

I didn’t give much credit to the Pats after they won their first three games, but it’s time to show them some respect. They beat a desperate Falcons team on the road on national television. That’s nothing to sneeze at.

PATRIOTS 27, BENGALS 17

Kansas City at Tennessee

I’d love to go with the Titans at home, but Jake Locker had been playing great football for them and now he’s on the bench with an injury.

Andy Reid has the Chiefs at 4-0 and his old Eagles are 1-3. Things worked out pretty well for him.

CHIEFS 20, TITANS 10

Seattle at Indianapolis

The Seahawks won last week on the road by virtue of a Matt Schaub gift. Andrew Luck won’t make the same type of mistake.

COLTS 27, SEAHWAKS 23

Jacksonville at St. Louis

I can’t pick the Jaguars until they show that they can at least compete in a game.

RAMS 27, JAGUARS 17

Baltimore at Miami

Dolphins will have something to play for after an embarrassing loss at New Orleans.

DOLPHINS 20, RAVENS 17

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants

Somebody has to win this one. Right?

GIANTS 17, EAGLES 13

Carolina at Arizona

The Panthers are learning how to win.

PANTHERS 23, CARDINALS 17

Denver at Dallas

I could see the Broncos laying an egg on the road, but I don’t trust the Cowboys nearly enough to pick them against a good team.

I see Peyton Manning coming up with a clutch fourth quarter drive.

BRONCOS 27, COWBOYS 24

Houston at San Francisco

The Texans just aren’t that good.

49ERS 28, TEXANS 17

San Diego at Oakland

Phillip Rivers is starting to play like he was three years ago again. Remember when it was a debate over who was better between him and Aaron Rodgers?

CHARGERS 35, RAIDERS 10

N.Y. Jets at Atlanta

I shouldn’t pick the Falcons, but I have to believe they won’t completely implode this early in the season.

FALCONS 24, JETS 21

Last week: 7-7; overall: 37-25